Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002829 0.002956 0.003086 0.003227 0.003378 0.003534 0.003707
2025-02-16 0.002588 0.002780 0.002983 0.003213 0.003469 0.003745 0.004066
2025-02-23 0.002425 0.002654 0.002901 0.003189 0.003519 0.003886 0.004327
2025-03-02 0.002336 0.002594 0.002880 0.003221 0.003620 0.004076 0.004640
2025-03-09 0.002236 0.002514 0.002826 0.003206 0.003660 0.004190 0.004862
2025-03-16 0.002146 0.002438 0.002772 0.003184 0.003686 0.004282 0.005056
2025-03-23 0.002055 0.002355 0.002703 0.003139 0.003678 0.004330 0.005193
2025-03-30 0.001975 0.002283 0.002643 0.003100 0.003673 0.004378 0.005328
2025-04-06 0.001925 0.002243 0.002618 0.003102 0.003717 0.004487 0.005544
2025-04-13 0.001830 0.002144 0.002519 0.003007 0.003633 0.004426 0.005532
2025-04-20 0.001791 0.002113 0.002501 0.003012 0.003676 0.004531 0.005742
2025-04-27 0.001773 0.002107 0.002514 0.003055 0.003769 0.004702 0.006050
2025-05-04 0.001717 0.002053 0.002465 0.003018 0.003756 0.004733 0.006166
2025-05-11 0.001676 0.002015 0.002436 0.003006 0.003776 0.004809 0.006349
2025-05-18 0.001633 0.001975 0.002401 0.002984 0.003781 0.004863 0.006502
2025-05-25 0.001614 0.001964 0.002404 0.003013 0.003855 0.005015 0.006805
2025-06-01 0.001579 0.001931 0.002377 0.003000 0.003869 0.005083 0.006983
2025-06-08 0.001543 0.001895 0.002346 0.002979 0.003873 0.005133 0.007137
2025-06-15 0.001500 0.001851 0.002301 0.002938 0.003845 0.005137 0.007216
2025-06-22 0.001462 0.001810 0.002261 0.002902 0.003823 0.005148 0.007307
2025-06-29 0.001440 0.001791 0.002248 0.002905 0.003855 0.005240 0.007531
2025-07-06 0.001385 0.001727 0.002173 0.002817 0.003754 0.005128 0.007417
2025-07-13 0.001366 0.001711 0.002164 0.002822 0.003789 0.005221 0.007645